Focus On: Auction Heat Maps

Every month we release our newsletter which includes the figures and statistics on a regional level, but we know that counties within each region can buck the trend and stand out from the average. So, for the first time, you have the ability to really see what is going on in the market in your local area. Using data from the start of Q2 2018 to the end of Q1 2023, you can see how the auctions market responded to the wider and ongoing economic conditions, as well as the rebound post covid too.

The data we have used has allowed us to form two heat maps, the first showing the number of sales and their changes, whilst the second will show the average sale price. This is then segmented into property types (Residential, Commercial, Mixed Use, and All Properties) and allows you to review the sector most pertinent to you. We have included some headline figures in each sector to help kick start your interactive journey. We hope you find these as interesting as we do.

Watch our "How-to" video here.

We reviewed
105,156 Sales

from
351 Auctioneers

in
6,600 Auctions

Sold Properties

This map shows properties sold at auction where a final sale price has been disclosed to EIG.  Click into a region of the map to zoom in to see more information at regional/county level. Use the slider to see how the heat map changes each year.

13,078

9,848

1,215

912

Most Lots Sold over 5 years

Lancashire

Lancashire

Lancashire

Greater London

195

82

31

22

Least Lots Sold over 5 years

Herefordshire

Herefordshire

Herefordshire

Herefordshire

108%

182%

157%

150%

Largest Percentage Change

North Lincolnshire

North Lincolnshire

Northamptonshire

Worcestershire

-72%

-76%

-75%

-92%

Smallest Percentage Change

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

Herefordshire

Herefordshire

National

Residential

Year Number of Lots Percentage change
2018-2019 13,146 6.1%
2019-2020 14,028 6.7%
2020-2021 12,909 -7.9%
2021-2022 14,092 9.2%
2022-2023 15,699 11%

General content about clicking into a county

Residential -

National

Commercial

Year Number of Lots Percentage change
2018-2019 2,355 -4.7%
2019-2020 2,061 -12%
2020-2021 1,637 -21%
2021-2022 2,146 31%
2022-2023 2,176 1.4%

General content about clicking into a county

Commercial -

National

Mixed use

Year Number of Lots Percentage change
2018-2019 1,768 -3.3%
2019-2020 1,485 -16%
2020-2021 1,231 -17%
2021-2022 1,493 21%
2022-2023 1,482 -0.7%

General content about clicking into a county

Mixed use -

National

All lots

Year Number of Lots Percentage change
2018-2019 20,572 -5.9%
2019-2020 20,995 2%
2020-2021 18,973 -9.6%
2021-2022 21,314 12%
2022-2023 23,302 9.3%

General content about clicking into a county

All lots -

Move the slider to see the changes over time

2018-2019 ? 2019-2020 ? 2020-2021 ? 2021-2022 ? 2022-2023 ?
Year runs from Q2 to Q1
Select a region to zoom in
Select a county for more details
region-eastmidlands

Key to percentage difference

< 100%
> 100%

Colour is defined by the percentage change in each area, and is not indicative as to region borders. 

Average Sale Price

This map shows the average sale price of properties sold at auction where a final sale price has been disclosed to EIG.  Click into a region of the map to zoom in to see more information at regional/county level. Use the slider to see how the heat map changes each year.

£421,294

£441,228

£791,009

£840,178

Largest Average Sale Price over 5 years

Greater London

Greater London

Greater London

Greater London

£58,849

£46,034

£141,403

£117,785

Smallest Average Sale Price over 5 years

County Durham

County Durham

Northern Ireland

County Durham

58%

53%

156%

243%

Largest Percentage Change

Shropshire

Scotland

Tyne & Wear

West Yorkshire

-33%

-13%

-56%

-60%

Smallest Percentage Change

Buckinghamshire

East Yorkshire

Oxfordshire

Northumberland

National

Residential

Year Average sale price Percentage change
2018-2019 £156,636 3%
2019-2020 £152,480 -2.7%
2020-2021 £178,605 17%
2021-2022 £194,292 8.8%
2022-2023 £190,871 -1.8%

General content about clicking into a county

Residential -

National

Commercial

Year Average sale price Percentage change
2018-2019 £332,491 18%
2019-2020 £333,658 0.4%
2020-2021 £380,791 14%
2021-2022 £400,578 5.2%
2022-2023 £397,111 -1%

General content about clicking into a county

Commercial -

National

Mixed use

Year Average sale price Percentage change
2018-2019 £360,966 32%
2019-2020 £313,139 -13%
2020-2021 £401,460 28%
2021-2022 £400,724 -0.2%
2022-2023 £418,499 4.4%

General content about clicking into a county

Mixed use -

National

All lots

Year Average sale price Percentage change
2018-2019 £172,524 11%
2019-2020 £161,010 -6.7%
2020-2021 £182,777 14%
2021-2022 £199,879 9.4%
2022-2023 £194,511 -2.7%

General content about clicking into a county

All lots -

Move the slider to see the changes over time

2018-2019 ? 2019-2020 ? 2020-2021 ? 2021-2022 ? 2022-2023 ?
Year runs from Q2 to Q1
Select a region to zoom in
Select a county for more details
region-eastmidlands

Key to percentage difference

< 100%
> 100%

Colour is defined by the percentage change in each area, and is not indicative as to region borders. 

Review

Overall, 81% of the country saw growth in the number of lots sold in 2022 and 2023 compared to 2018 to 2019, of which 42% saw increases of over 30%. This shows that despite economic adversities and a global pandemic, demand for auctions remained strong. Residential in particular held its own for the volume of sales, while we have witnessed a fall in the average sale price from Q4 2022. Our latest newsletter has indicated that the residential market is now dropping back in terms of lots sold, so we will be keeping a close eye on that. The commercial and mixed-use market both started to show stagnation for lots offered and sale price, but on the whole have been holding steady.

For residential properties, we saw three counties experience over 100% growth in the same comparative periods. These were North Lincolnshire (182%), Oxfordshire (118%) and Dorset (110%). Northern Ireland has been showing a decline in stock since covid. The North East is known to be a strong region however a decrease was seen in what is normally a strong region for auction sales with Northumberland seeing a shrink back of 49% over the past 5 years, while neighbouring County Durham remained strong with a 5% growth. Despite this, Northumberland did see a 32% growth in average sales rates, one of the highest increases seen nationally. East Yorkshire and Bedfordshire were the only counties to experience a higher decrease in sales values, of 13% and 12% respectively.

Commercial growth in the Greater London area grew by 74% during these periods, only second to the growth seen in Northamptonshire (157%). 64% of counties saw a decrease in the number of commercial lots selling at auction, notably Lancashire saw a decrease of 29% in the past 5 years, however in turn they did see a 38% increase in average sales value. West Yorkshire also saw a slight decrease in the number of sales (16%) and an upturn of value (47%).

Mixed Use faired slightly better than pure commercial lots did, with 40% of the counties maintaining previous levels or seeing growth compared to 5 years ago. The West Midlands saw a 14% growth rate, while Greater London experienced 8% growth. Again, Lancashire saw a decrease in sales, dropping by 43%. Seven counties demonstrated average sales value growth exceeding 100%, which were West Yorkshire (243%), North Lincolnshire (235%), Northamptonshire (170%), East Yorkshire (148%), Oxfordshire (132%) Tyne & Wear (103%) and Shropshire (102%).


Regional Data

Every quarter we will be including regional data from the past five years, including the number of lots sold and the average sale price. This allows you to track what is happening across the country, to spot trends, and see how changes in the wider market may be affecting auctions.

London
South East Home Counties
South West
Yorkshire & The Humber
North West
North East
West Midlands
East Midlands
East Anglia
Scotland
Wales
North West Home Counties
Northern Ireland

Regional Data Analysis

The data in these charts consist of all auction sales on a quarterly basis, including individual single lot sales, as well as conditional sales.

Interestingly, the effect of Covid on the auctions market during 2020 can clearly be identified in each region in terms of the drop in lots sold during Q2. Also, nearly all regions saw a decrease in average sales value during Q4 2022, due to the change in economic conditions affecting the housing market.


Closing Summary

Did your area perform as you expected? Or were you surprised by the numbers you saw? When we began this edition, we made assumptions as to what we may find, and while in most cases we were correct, there were several counties that certainly outperformed our own expectations. We would love to hear your thoughts and anything you found interesting, so please either contact us directly, or tag us on any posts on social media!

One final point, when the data sets are smaller, anomalies can stand out further than normal. For example, West Sussex average sale values for Mixed Use was dramatically increased for 2021-22 due to a multi-million-pound sale occurring. So, it is important to note that while certain numbers may indeed look impressive, a critical eye must be used at all times when reviewing this data.

David Leary

If there are any topics you would like us to focus on in future releases, or you have any feedback or thoughts you would like to share, please contact us on insights@eigroup.co.uk.

David Leary

PS. Our next edition will be released in September 2023, so if you are not already on our newsletter mailing list, sign up today!

Disclaimer: The figures in this newsletter are based on sales data provided to us by the auctioneers.